Technical Analysis

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

RBI hiked CRR

Interest rates set to harden: BankersPosted online: Tuesday , July 29, 2008

Bankers on Tuesday said both lending and deposit rates are likely to go up by a minimum of 0.5 per cent, as a fall out of Reserve Bank announcing a hike in short-term lending rate and cash reserve requirement of banks.

"We have to assess what is the actual impact and a decision would be taken accordingly. A minimum 0.5 per cent hike in our BPLR and deposit rates cannot be ruled out," state-owned Punjab National Bank's Chairman and Managing Director K C Chakarabarty said in Mumbai.

Announcing the quarterly review of credit policy, RBI hiked CRR by 0.25 per cent to 9 per cent and Repo by 0.5 per cent to 9 per cent.

Union Bank of India's Chirman and Managing Director M V Nair said the bank's Asset Liability Committee (ALCO) would look at the liquidity condition of the bank after the hike.

The lender is likely to up its BPLR, Nair said, but did not say what would be the range of revision. "Our ALCO will meet soon to assess the impact. There is a clear pressure on the profitability of banks after the present hikes in RBI key-rates. We may revise our BPLR upwards," Nair said.

Friday, July 18, 2008

Bharti Airtel

Buy Bharti Airtel for target Rs 1,150: Religare
29 Jul, 2008

MUMBAI: Religare Research has maintained ‘buy’ on Bharti Airtel for a target price of Rs 1,150. The company has released a good set of numbers in April-June 2008-09, ahead of the brokerage estimates. Strong subscriber additions in conjunction with higher mobile traffic from existing and new clients supported a revenue growth of 8.5 per cent quarter on quarter.

A decrease in STD rates and roaming charges boosted mobile traffic volumes but caused margins in the segment to decline. In a further dampener to mobile margins, the licence fee concession period in six circles expired during the quarter, elevating licence costs. However, average revenue per user in the mobile segment bettered Religare’s estimate of Rs 350, a marginal decline of 2 per cent quarter on quarter against their expectation of a 5.2 per cent decline.

Religare has revised their ARPU assumption since the gestation period for rural customers is proving to be lower than anticipated, with traffic picking up at a rapid pace. The brokerage has increased their revenue and earnings estimates for 2008-09 and 2009-10 based on strong subscriber additions and their revised ARPU assumptions.

The stock is trading at 16.8x and 13.8x expected FY09 and FY10 earnings of Rs 47.4 and Rs 57.7 respectively.

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